What do the EU migrant numbers actually mean?   Leave a comment

Say Yes 2 Europe - Remain in the EU

Well, compare them with the number of births in the UK. The plot below are data from the Office for National Statistics about the number of births since 1938 (i.e. ‘0’ is the year 1938 and the final year on this plot is 2014). The post-war ‘Baby-Boom years saw well over 800,000 births a year, as did the ‘late seventies spike’. Since then the total number of births has collapsed dramatically to around 600,000. When you hear about net-migration being around 300,000 then this is not some ‘incredibly large and unmanageable number’ but rather something like half the natural birthrate. Now you might argue that the natural birthrate is offset by a natural deathrate is well to yield a slowly rising population. Well, EU-migrants have a finite lifetime too.

Also view this with pensions in mind, pensions that are to a large part paid from contributions of current workers…

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Posted May 10, 2016 by TeamBritanniaHu in Uncategorized

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